Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 75.577017 84.934501 94.507669 105.002158 116.152185 127.615918 140.263772
2025-05-25 60.322782 73.669146 87.950399 104.238634 122.177053 141.216364 162.839990
2025-06-01 51.666419 67.226437 84.439454 104.626392 127.402303 152.078695 180.616705
2025-06-08 44.142492 61.039420 80.322752 103.511575 130.229369 159.683654 194.258782
2025-06-15 39.521879 57.652828 78.905978 105.000132 135.577866 169.750690 210.327979
2025-06-22 35.763745 54.887700 77.870068 106.620480 140.814986 179.481742 225.844155
2025-06-29 31.351979 50.883737 74.995133 105.753937 142.895923 185.393206 236.840205
2025-07-06 26.864839 46.370246 71.155347 103.424350 142.994616 188.804946 244.788239
2025-07-13 25.496041 45.875329 72.270916 107.089974 150.203631 200.481055 262.279801
2025-07-20 23.676727 44.592005 72.247263 109.235995 155.499999 209.855932 277.061712
2025-07-27 21.068077 41.967702 70.298412 108.810384 157.542104 215.286045 287.154906
2025-08-03 18.603958 39.333141 68.168263 108.012926 159.013612 219.949457 296.277432
2025-08-10 16.850169 37.645725 67.258359 108.772145 162.440350 227.019433 308.349841
2025-08-17 14.834101 35.363867 65.395496 108.181444 164.101692 231.909947 317.805348
2025-08-24 13.306751 33.716488 64.318296 108.547994 166.910613 238.152620 328.848937
2025-08-31 11.520294 31.444120 62.206736 107.413391 167.715800 241.876407 336.813129
2025-09-07 10.589622 30.564449 62.075670 108.933852 171.916655 249.775236 349.827048
2025-09-14 9.771503 29.803765 62.069342 110.589625 176.271446 257.856174 363.065105
2025-09-21 8.450984 27.947505 60.295922 109.704208 177.242082 261.678744 371.081820
2025-09-28 6.965400 25.551406 57.542518 107.323616 176.152404 262.853050 375.802060
2025-10-05 6.806037 25.866536 59.077295 111.069292 183.217879 274.317450 393.200724
2025-10-12 6.367523 25.534660 59.544516 113.261654 188.201549 283.153257 407.370453
2025-10-19 5.507788 24.155912 58.236488 112.826883 189.621218 287.446162 415.912121